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Chief Economists Outlook: January 2025
The January 2025 Chief Economists Outlook explores key trends in the global economy, including the latest outlook for growth, inflation, monetary and fiscal policy. It discusses the impact of US policy on the global economy, investigates fragmentation trends and discusses the turbulent outlook for global trade. This series of reports draws on the individual and collective perspectives of a group of leading chief economists through consultations with the World Economic Forum’s Chief Economists Community and a regular Chief Economists Survey.
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The 20th edition of the Global Risks Report 2025 reveals an increasingly fractured global landscape, where escalating geopolitical, environmental, societal and technological challenges threaten stability and progress. This edition presents the findings of the Global Risks Perception Survey 2024-2025 (GRPS), which captures insights from over 900 experts worldwide. The report analyses global risks through three timeframes to support decision- makers in balancing current crises and longer-term priorities.
To align the energy sector with net-zero emissions by 2050, annual investment must increase from $2 trillion today to ~$4.5 trillion. This report argues for a targeted, standardized approach to reducing the cost of financing and mitigating the risks of energy transition projects. Collaboration between investors, industry executives, policy-makers and financial institutions is essential.
Electric vehicle battery supply chains are marked by geographic concentration in mining and manufacturing, combined with a globalized distribution of materials. This model increases emissions, weakens resilience, and risks harming developing economies through unregulated cross-border transfers of used batteries. Meanwhile, first-life battery design focuses heavily on performance metrics like cost, range and safety, often neglecting end-of-life considerations such as repairability, recyclability and reuse potential. The lack of effective tracking systems for battery materials hinders responsible sourcing and informed decision-making across the life cycle.
The World Economic Forum's Global Cybersecurity Outlook 2025, written in collaboration with Accenture, examines the cybersecurity trends that will affect economies and societies in the year to come. The report explores major findings and puts a spotlight on the complexity of the cybersecurity landscape, which is intensified by geopolitical tensions, emerging technologies, supply chain interdependencies and cybercrime sophistication.
Technological change, geoeconomic fragmentation, economic uncertainty, demographic shifts and the green transition – individually and in combination are among the major drivers expected to shape and transform the global labour market by 2030. The Future of Jobs Report 2025 brings together the perspective of over 1,000 leading global employers—collectively representing more than 14 million workers across 22 industry clusters and 55 economies from around the world—to examine how these macrotrends impact jobs and skills, and the workforce transformation strategies employers plan to embark on in response, across the 2025 to 2030 timeframe.
Global cooperation is at a crossroads. While overall collaboration has flatlined, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions and instability, positive momentum in areas of climate and nature, innovation and technology, and health and wellness offer hope.
特集シリーズ
Marsh McLennanとZurich Insurance Groupと共に作成した『グローバルリスク報告書』は、急速な技術の革新、経済の不確実性、温暖化する地球、紛争などを背景に、今後10年間に直面する可能性のある最も深刻なリスクを探ります。協調が迫られる中、衰退した経済や社会は、耐久性の限界点をわずかな刺激で超える可能性があります。
毎年発表される「新興テクノロジー・トップ10」。同レポートでは、今後3年から5年の間に社会にポジティブな影響をもたらすテクノロジーを取り上げます。さらに、各テクノロジーが人や地球に与える潜在的インパクトについて定性的な評価を行っています。
年に一度発表される「グローバル・ジェンダー・ギャップ指数」は、4つの主要分野、「経済」、「教育」、「医療へのアクセス」、「政治参加」におけるジェンダー公正に関する状態とその推移を評価するベンチマークです。
今日の経済環境に関する新たな概要をまとめた「チーフエコノミスト・アウトルック」。四半期毎の本レポートには、最新の政策研究と、官民両セクターの主要チーフエコノミストによる調査結果が盛り込まれています。
年に一度発行される「効果的なエネルギー転換の促進」レポートでは、エネルギー転換指数(ETI)を用いて、120カ国における現在のエネルギーシステムのパフォーマンスを評価。公平性、安全性、持続可能性のバランス、および転換への準備状況に重点を置いています。