Education

Where you went to college doesn't matter. This is why. 

Graduating students of the City College of New York sit together in their caps and gowns as they listen to U.S. first lady Michelle Obama's address during the College's commencement ceremony in the Harlem section of Manhattan, New York, U.S., June 3, 2016. REUTERS/Mike Segar - RTX2FKNP

Ivy League grads do better than anyone else, but going to an Ivy League school isn't the reason why. Image: REUTERS/Mike Segar

Shana Lebowitz
Strategy Reporter, Business Insider
Share:
Our Impact
What's the World Economic Forum doing to accelerate action on Education?
The Big Picture
Explore and monitor how Education is affecting economies, industries and global issues
A hand holding a looking glass by a lake
Crowdsource Innovation
Get involved with our crowdsourced digital platform to deliver impact at scale
Stay up to date:

Education

On the whole, Harvard grads make more money and land better jobs than students who graduate from, say, your average state school.

After all, they go through a uniquely rigorous academic program and are educated by some of the finest scholars in the world — they're pretty much primed for success.

Except that's not actually how things work.

The reason Ivy-League grads generally do better than state-school grads isn't because of their Ivy League education. It's because they're smarter and more talented than the rest of us — and that's why they were admitted to the Ivy League in the first place.

Seth Stephens-Davidowitz, a former Google data scientist and Harvard-trained economist (of course) outlines this idea in his new book, "Everybody Lies." The book explores the myriad uses of Big Data — from anonymized Google searches to the language people use on first dates — and what it reveals about human behavior.

My mind was blown when I reached the point in "Everybody Lies" where Stephens-Davidowitz explained that where you go to college doesn't matter — partly because the science behind it is so simple and partly because this is hardly a new finding.

Stephens-Davidowitz points to a 2002 paper by Stacy Dale at Mathematica Policy Research and Princeton University's Alan B. Krueger, which found that elite colleges "tend to accept students with higher earnings capacity."

As Stephens-Davidowitz explains in the book, the researchers looked at data on thousands of high-school students: where they applied to college, where they were accepted to college, where they attended college, their family background, and their income as adults. They looked specifically at the 1995 earnings of people who were college freshmen in 1976.

Here's the simple-but-brilliant part: As Stephens-Davidowitz explains, the researchers "compared students with similar backgrounds who were accepted by the same schools but chose different ones. Some students who got into Harvard attended Penn State … These students, in other words, were just as talented, according to admissions committees, as those who went to Harvard. But they had different educational experiences."

As it turns out, those two groups of students wound up with similar incomes later in life.

In 2011, the researchers studied an even larger sample — looking at the 2007 earnings of about 19,000 adults who were freshmen in 1989 — and produced similar results.

These findings are perfect examples of wannabe scientists' favorite aphorism: Correlation doesn't equal causation.

In other words: Yes, Ivy League grads do better than anyone else, but going to an Ivy League school isn't the reason why. There's a third factor — how smart and talented they are to begin with — that explains the outcome.

Or, as Stephens-Davidowitz put it in the interview with Business Insider, students at elite universities "tend to be more talented. It's not because the school added anything to them."

Interestingly, however, the research found that students from low-income backgrounds did tend to benefit from attending an elite university, suggesting that "your choice of college doesn't matter" isn't a blanket statement.

Don't miss any update on this topic

Create a free account and access your personalized content collection with our latest publications and analyses.

Sign up for free

License and Republishing

World Economic Forum articles may be republished in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International Public License, and in accordance with our Terms of Use.

The views expressed in this article are those of the author alone and not the World Economic Forum.

Share:
World Economic Forum logo
Global Agenda

The Agenda Weekly

A weekly update of the most important issues driving the global agenda

Subscribe today

You can unsubscribe at any time using the link in our emails. For more details, review our privacy policy.

Why we need global minimum quality standards in EdTech

Natalia Kucirkova

April 17, 2024

About Us

Events

Media

Partners & Members

  • Join Us

Language Editions

Privacy Policy & Terms of Service

© 2024 World Economic Forum